Is it really possible to beat the market? Can you
consistently make high returns from investments without any inside knowledge?
Investors certainly think so, otherwise why would anyone invest in something that
isn’t going to make them money? Some people believe it is pure luck, others are
more suspicious.
Recently, there has been a suggestion that employees at
two US fantasy sports companies have been acting improperly following
allegations of insider trading. This industry came about from an American
Fantasy Football game where users would pick players to form a team and score
points based on players weekly performances, all for fun. However, this all
changed recently as companies such as DraftKings and FanDuel set up online
daily and weekly games based on a very similar idea. However this option
requires an entry fee to paid (up to $1,000, as reported by the New York Times)
to play against hundreds of opponents, with a potential $2 million prize for
the winner.
‘It is the simplest way to win life-changing piles of
cash every week!’ stated DraftKings, the company who raised $300m in a funding
round during July, led by 21st Century Fox, with rival FanDuel
raising a similar amount according to the Financial Times. For the vast
majority it is a way of losing money, with only a tiny proportion of the
participant’s actually winning cash. Interestingly it has been revealed some of
the tiny percentage of winners, are employees of these two fantasy companies.
Seems coincidental right?
In my eyes, it should not be possible for employees at
either of these companies to be able to compete in the fantasy leagues; as they
have access to information not available to the very people they are competing
against, the general public. Employees at the two companies have a clear
advantage and are able to beat the market as a result of inside knowledge.
But this is exactly what has happened this month, as one
employee won $350,000 on a FanDuel website, by using the information he had
access to as a result of working for DraftKings. More information on the story
can be found here.
You may be thinking, does the information employees have
access to, really give them a clear advantage? I thought the same but yes it
does. They are able to see the number of people who have picked particular
players and therefore work out which footballers would give them to best chance
of winning. This is because if they pick a player who has been selected by a
small proportion of the public, and this player scores a lot of points then
there will be less teams doing well at the same time.
Where is the fun in that? Fantasy football was created
for people to test their knowledge against other football fans, not for people
to abuse their positions and win money at other people’s expense. Having played
the UK version of fantasy football (or ‘soccer’ as it known in the US) for a
number of years, I would be very upset if I knew people I was competing against
have an unfair advantage. I would be even more annoyed if I had lost money as a
result of this.
What makes this all the more astonishing is this is
taking place in a country where online gambling is illegal. The simplest way to
solve this issue is to ban all employees, who have access to insider
information, from playing any kind of pay-to-play fantasy football. This would
prevent anyone from making an abnormal return and also ensure the general
public are competing on a level playing field. A similar step was taken by the
English FA, where common sense was used to prevent any chance of insider
trading occurring. All professional footballers have been banned on betting on
any football match, regardless of whether they are involved or not.
People may argue that the fantasy football market does
not need to be regulated as it is a game all about skill; however with such
large sums of money at stake there needs to be some form on intervention. If this
has happened once, what is stopping it happening again?
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ReplyDeleteInteresting read.
ReplyDeleteIf online gambling is illegal in the country, the problem should not exist at all? Would it be better to stop it altogether rather than just stopping the employees from taking part?
That is an interesting point which people will disagree on. Personally my view is that this fantasy football game is not classed as gambling and therefore the issue surrounding employees taking part should be dealt with. Another idea would be to scrap the pay-to-play game and revert back to the original game where people played for fun free of charge, as is done in the the UK.
ReplyDelete